ODDITYTECH.NEWS

Signals from the Fringe of Science & Technology

LIVE FEED Updated nightly by SSCI
VIEW
TAGS
science-technology 109d ago

Transformer Expressivity Paradox: More Power = Worse Forecasts (Formal Proof)

A formal mathematical proof shows that increasing Transformer model expressivity for financial time series prediction leads to strictly higher prediction error — because training and test noise are statistically independent and additive, creating an irreducible error floor that grows with model capacity.